Qualitative Risk Modeling In Primavera Risk Analysis
by: Adel Aliaskari,PMP
As you know, we use Oracle Primavera Risk Analysis software
for modeling, evaluating and managing Risks in our project. There are so many
kinds of risks that all of us know in our project. We are unanimous in this
principal that all projects have risk!
It is essential that we don’t neglect to manage them .All
of us has an obvious understanding of type of risk that affects Time or Cost of
project directly like these: Extension of time of a task ,Being delay in start
of a task, Extra cost of Bulk or tagged materials and so on. We can assign
these kinds of risks directly to time and cost of each related task in software
and evaluate the impact.
But how about this kind of Risks: Poor understanding and detail
in specification, Health risks for
employees in site place, Likelihood changes in our client managerial team,
Underestimating of inflation rate for the future ,UN Sanctions , a big brawl in
our project vicinity or in the worst case, happening a war in your
neighborhood! Or an opportunities like this: Reuse previous design work, it may
be possible to use designs created for previous project?
How we can confront them?
If we want to manage a risk, we have to model it and If we
want to model a risk, we should assign it to a task or resource (and so on to a
calendar) .But in these case studies, Those risks are overall and it is out of
our ability to determine obviously which activities or resources and how degree
will affect from these risks?
By the use of Risk Register in software, you can add
these qualitative risks to your plan and do all necessary analysis. After that,
you can offer mitigation solutions to decrease the impact of threat or promote
the impact of opportunities and build impacted plans according to Pre-mitigated
and Post-mitigated registered risks to analyze what will happen after utilize
Also it is available to define the area of affects by risks
and formulate the calculation of Risk score.
At the next step, if you want, you can quantify
these risks and roughly evaluate the consequence of them in a range of
probability and impact on cost and schedule
Maturity Models in Project Management
by: Adel Aliaskari,PMP
There are two major points of view for evaluating maturity in a projectized
organization. The first approach evaluates maturity of organization project
management and the second one is dedicated to evaluate a single project. An
organizational model intends to compare capabilities of your organization with a
predefined idealistic organization model and best practices, then at the
result, reveal the areas of weakness and opportunities of your organization. These
models focus on your process and procedures and generally classified your
organization in one of its levels.
A projectise model compare a single project with a model and concludes a
report in alignment with the achievement of project goals. Most of this kind of
models use for evaluating a project in award ceremonies and don’t show the
level of maturity in your organization and route of improvement.
Some of most famous of them is listed below
- OPM3 (Organizational
Project Management Maturity Model) - has 4 levels of maturity in Portfolio,
Program and project levels. The concept of OPM3 is based on the idea that there
is a correlation between an organization’s capabilities in Project Management,
Program Management, and Portfolio Management, And its effectiveness in
implementing strategy (Standardize, Measure, Control and Improve)
Kerzner Model (Project
Management Maturity Model)-has 5 levels(Common language, Common Process, Singular
Methodology, Benchmarking and Continues improvement)
Wysocki Model-has 5 levels(Initial
Process, Structured process, Institutional Process, Managed Process and
Traditional Model- has 5
levels (Initial, Repeatable, Defined, Managed and Optimized)
Prince 2 Model –has 3
CMMI(SEI) Model –Has 5
levels (Initial, Managed, Defined ,Quantitatively Managed and Optimizing)
Ronald Garies Model
Project Health Check
Undoubtedly you know some other models which
are not listed here.Please furnish me with your comments about this post and
share your knowledge with others.